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Odds updated 10 min ago

Every NFL and NBA player prop scored on its chance to hit, priced across six sportsbooks, and every pick graded in public.

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Track record

Graded in public.

NBA

Last night's Top 10

7 of 10 hit

  • Duncan Robinson DETOver 1.5 Assists1 Miss
  • Coby White CHAUnder 2.5 Threes2 Hit
  • Dillon Brooks PHXUnder 2.5 Assists1 Hit
See all 10
  • Kyshawn George WASUnder 2.5 Threes3 Miss
  • Jakob Poeltl TORUnder 2.5 Assists3 Miss
  • Terrence Shannon Jr. MINUnder 1.5 Threes0 Hit
  • Kyrie Irving DALUnder 3.5 Threes2 Hit
  • VJ Edgecombe PHIOver 2.5 Assists8 Hit
  • Anthony Davis WASOver 1.5 Assists4 Hit
  • Ja'Kobe Walter TORUnder 1.5 Steals1 Hit

Top 10 since Oct 27: 108–46 · 70%

Graded at the posted line.

See every NBA pick

NFL

Last week's Value picks

76–44 · +21.7u

  • Dalton Schultz HOUUnder 4.5 Receptions2 Hit
  • Emmett Johnson KCUnder 2.5 Receptions0 Hit
  • Pat Bryant DENUnder 2.5 Receptions4 Miss
See all 121
  • Mack Hollins NEUnder 3.5 Receptions3 Hit
  • Ty Johnson BUFUnder 2.5 Receptions2 Hit
  • Jalen Nailor LVUnder 2.5 Receptions2 Hit
  • Tre Tucker LVUnder 3.5 Receptions4 Miss
  • Malik Willis MIAUnder 30.5 Rush Yds7 Hit
  • Kirk Cousins LVUnder 1.5 Rush Yds0 Hit
  • Justin Herbert LACUnder 22.5 Rush Yds7 Hit
  • Ladd McConkey LACUnder 4.5 Receptions— Void
  • Matthew Golden GBUnder 5.5 Receptions10 Miss
  • Justice Hill BALUnder 34.5 Rush+Rec Yds92 Miss
  • Courtland Sutton DENUnder 3.5 Receptions5 Miss
  • Dak Prescott DALUnder 6.5 Rush Yds1 Hit
  • Geno Smith NYJUnder 6.5 Rush Yds8 Miss
  • Isaiah Likely NYGUnder 4.5 Receptions5 Miss
  • Patrick Mahomes KCUnder 12.5 Rush Yds8 Hit
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. HOUUnder 2.5 Receptions2 Hit
  • Nico Collins HOUUnder 5.5 Receptions4 Hit
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEAUnder 7.5 Receptions7 Hit
  • Baker Mayfield TBUnder 16.5 Rush Yds0 Hit
  • Parker Washington JAXUnder 4.5 Receptions2 Hit
  • Alvin Kamara NOUnder 3.5 Receptions3 Hit
  • Isaiah Williams NYJUnder 12.5 Rec Yds0 Hit
  • Jahmyr Gibbs DETUnder 4.5 Receptions0 Hit
  • Joe Milton III PHIUnder 23.5 Rush Yds64 Miss
  • Josh Downs INDUnder 4.5 Receptions3 Hit
  • Omar Cooper NYJUnder 4.5 Receptions8 Miss
  • Puka Nacua LAUnder 8.5 Receptions14 Miss
  • Rashee Rice KCUnder 5.5 Receptions5 Hit
  • Seth McGowan INDUnder 28.5 Rush Yds45 Miss
  • Shedeur Sanders CLEUnder 16.5 Rush Yds28 Miss
  • Tyler Shough NOUnder 14.5 Rush Yds51 Miss
  • Brock Purdy SFUnder 15.5 Rush Yds40 Miss
  • Christian McCaffrey SFUnder 5.5 Receptions2 Hit
  • Drew Lock SEAUnder 7.5 Rush Yds16 Miss
  • Jordan Love GBUnder 3.5 Rush Yds13 Miss
  • Trevor Lawrence JAXUnder 11.5 Rush Yds-1 Hit
  • Joe Burrow CINUnder 8.5 Rush Yds7 Hit
  • Michael Penix Jr. ATLUnder 4.5 Rush Yds50 Miss
  • Chuba Hubbard CARUnder 95.5 Rush+Rec Yds96 Miss
  • Gardner Minshew ARIUnder 5.5 Rush Yds4 Hit
  • Josh Allen BUFUnder 31.5 Rush Yds15 Hit
  • Joe Fagnano BALOver 15.5 Completions10 Miss
  • Joe Fagnano BALUnder 7.5 Rush Yds13 Miss
  • Justice Hill BALUnder 15.5 Rec Yds7 Hit
  • Gardner Minshew ARIUnder 21.5 Completions21 Hit
  • Jordan Love GBUnder 274.5 Pass Yds372 Miss
  • Carson Wentz MINUnder 7.5 Rush Yds0 Hit
  • Carson Wentz MINUnder 1.5 Pass TDs0 Hit
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAXUnder 32.5 Rush Yds19 Hit
  • Devin Singletary NYGUnder 78.5 Rush+Rec Yds39 Hit
  • Jahmyr Gibbs DETUnder 137.5 Rush+Rec Yds74 Hit
  • Jonathan Taylor INDUnder 90.5 Rush+Rec Yds64 Hit
  • Ollie Gordon II MIAUnder 83.5 Rush+Rec Yds64 Hit
  • Tyler Shough NOUnder 1.5 Pass TDs1 Hit
  • Gardner Minshew ARIUnder 199.5 Pass Yds166 Hit
  • Bucky Irving TBUnder 2.5 Receptions4 Miss
  • Caleb Williams CHIUnder 18.5 Rush Yds16 Hit
  • Colston Loveland CHIUnder 5.5 Receptions4 Hit
  • Luther Burden III CHIUnder 2.5 Rush Yds0 Hit
  • Josh Allen BUFUnder 238.5 Pass Yds234 Hit
  • Bhayshul Tuten JAXUnder 63.5 Rush Yds29 Hit
  • Derrick Henry BALUnder 70.5 Rush Yds57 Hit
  • Josh Cuevas BALUnder 8.5 Rec Yds0 Hit
  • Blake Corum LAUnder 59.5 Rush+Rec Yds58 Hit
  • Kyren Williams LAUnder 89.5 Rush+Rec Yds61 Hit
  • Tyler Shough NOUnder 251.5 Pass+Rush Yds316 Miss
  • C.J. Stroud HOUUnder 251.5 Pass Yds384 Miss
  • Jordan Love GBUnder 280.5 Pass+Rush Yds385 Miss
  • Tyler Allgeier ARIUnder 72.5 Rush+Rec Yds46 Hit
  • Roschon Johnson CHIUnder 16.5 Rush Yds0 Hit
  • Jordan Mason MINUnder 54.5 Rush+Rec Yds42 Hit
  • Justin Jefferson MINUnder 6.5 Receptions3 Hit
  • Ty Johnson BUFUnder 14.5 Rec Yds36 Miss
  • Ja'Kobi Lane BALUnder 17.5 Rec Yds0 Hit
  • Joe Fagnano BALOver 166.5 Pass Yds60 Miss
  • Bijan Robinson ATLUnder 130.5 Rush+Rec Yds147 Miss
  • Bijan Robinson ATLUnder 97.5 Rush Yds100 Miss
  • Khalil Herbert ATLUnder 8.5 Rush Yds7 Hit
  • Audric Estimé NOUnder 43.5 Rush+Rec Yds77 Miss
  • Bryce Young CARUnder 230.5 Pass Yds276 Miss
  • J.J. McCarthy NYGUnder 208.5 Pass Yds127 Hit
  • Tyler Shough NOUnder 233.5 Pass Yds265 Miss
  • Justin Herbert LACUnder 209.5 Pass Yds193 Hit
  • Justin Herbert LACUnder 238.5 Pass+Rush Yds200 Hit
  • Kimani Vidal LACUnder 30.5 Rush+Rec Yds36 Miss
  • Woody Marks HOUUnder 82.5 Rush+Rec Yds74 Hit
  • Brock Purdy SFOver 239.5 Pass Yds232 Miss
  • Drew Lock SEAUnder 1.5 Pass TDs1 Hit
  • Jadarian Price SEAUnder 71.5 Rush+Rec Yds78 Miss
  • Rhamondre Stevenson NEUnder 83.5 Rush+Rec Yds78 Hit
  • Bucky Irving TBUnder 83.5 Rush+Rec Yds125 Miss
  • Bucky Irving TBUnder 64.5 Rush Yds97 Miss
  • Colston Loveland CHIUnder 54.5 Rec Yds54 Hit
  • D'Andre Swift CHIUnder 89.5 Rush+Rec Yds31 Hit
  • D'Andre Swift CHIUnder 62.5 Rush Yds31 Hit
  • DJ Moore BUFUnder 47.5 Rec Yds25 Hit
  • James Cook BUFUnder 10.5 Rec Yds0 Hit
  • James Cook BUFUnder 100.5 Rush+Rec Yds107 Miss
  • Jordan Addison MINUnder 41.5 Rec Yds28 Hit
  • Josh Allen BUFUnder 274.5 Pass+Rush Yds249 Hit
  • Khalil Shakir BUFUnder 40.5 Rec Yds58 Miss
  • Bhayshul Tuten JAXUnder 77.5 Rush+Rec Yds29 Hit
  • Brenton Strange JAXUnder 3.5 Receptions2 Hit
  • Derrick Henry BALUnder 78.5 Rush+Rec Yds57 Hit
  • Joe Milton III PHIUnder 183.5 Pass Yds169 Hit
  • Patrick Mahomes KCOver 242.5 Pass Yds242 Miss
  • Ted Hurst III TBUnder 23.5 Rec Yds0 Hit
  • Jordan Mason MINUnder 46.5 Rush Yds35 Hit
  • Zay Flowers BALUnder 4.5 Receptions3 Hit
  • Chris Godwin Jr. TBUnder 3.5 Receptions2 Hit
  • Jordan Addison MINUnder 3.5 Receptions2 Hit
  • Drake London ATLUnder 5.5 Receptions5 Hit
  • Emeka Egbuka TBUnder 3.5 Receptions3 Hit
  • Luther Burden III CHIUnder 4.5 Receptions7 Miss
  • Caleb Williams CHIUnder 1.5 Pass TDs2 Miss
  • D'Andre Swift CHIUnder 2.5 Receptions0 Hit
  • Dak Prescott DALUnder 1.5 Pass TDs2 Miss
  • Jared Goff DETOver 2.5 Pass TDs0 Miss

Value picks since Oct 1: 430–311 · +46.6u

Graded at the posted price.

See every NFL pick

Past results do not predict future results.

See the full track record

Everything behind the number.

Prop Board · NFLExample · Nov 1
  • Score 65

    Josh Palmer

    WR · BUF vs BAL

    Sun 1:00 PM ET

    Under 1.5 Receptions

    FanDuel −230 (DK −234)L5 5/5L10 9/10vs BAL 1/3
  • Score 65

    Justin Herbert

    QB · LAC @ LA

    Sun 4:05 PM ET

    Under 1.5 Pass TDs

    FanDuel −192 (DK −202)L5 5/5L10 9/10vs LA 0/1
  • Score 63

    Elijah Higgins

    TE · ARI @ DAL

    Sun 1:00 PM ET

    Under 2.5 Receptions

    DraftKings −180L5 1/5L10 4/10vs DAL 0/1
  • Score 63

    Derrick Henry

    RB · BAL @ BUF

    Sun 1:00 PM ET

    Anytime TD

    Caesars −205 (DK −210)L5 3/5L10 7/10vs BUF 7/8
  • Score 63

    Daniel Jones

    QB · IND @ JAX

    Sun 1:00 PM ET

    Over 0.5 Pass TDs

    FanDuel −182 (DK −195)L5 2/5L10 6/10vs JAX 1/2
  • Score 63

    Jahmyr Gibbs

    RB · DET vs MIN

    Sun 1:00 PM ET

    Anytime TD

    BetMGM −235 (DK −240)L5 4/5L10 7/10vs MIN 4/6
The whole slate, by score. Best price across six books on every prop.
Player page · NBAExample · Nov 4

Duncan Robinson

F · DET vs PHI · Wed Nov 4, 7:00 PM ET (4:00 PM PT)

At a glance · Assists Under 2.5

Projection
2.2 · line 2.5
Average
2.3 this season · 2.2 L10 · 2.4 L5
This line
Under 2.5: 7 of 10 L10 · 5 of 7 this season
Rest
DET 1 day off · PHI 1 day off
Availability
Played all 7 this season
Role
Minutes 28.3 L10 · 30.1 this season · started 7 of 7 · usage 21% L10
Teammates out
Duren (C), Joe (G)
Game
vs PHI · DET −2.5 · total 218.5 · DET 110.5
Conditions
Pace 100.7 expected (league 102.0)
Defense
PHI 9th-easiest of 30 vs guards in Assists

Game log vs the line

34R:94/8✗12R:184/10✓2R:164/12✓2310/20✓2R:1410/23✓35R:2310/25✗25R:2910/27✓25R:2310/28✓2R:1310/30✓35R:2011/2✗

the 2.5 linewon ✓lost ✗Pot. assists

Tap or hover a bar for that game's box score.

R:# over each bar: the opponent's rank going into that game against guards in this stat (R:1 = allowed the most per 100 possessions that season), colored for your Under.

At least 0 min

Teammates: tap for games with or without them.

Hit rates

L5
3/5
60%
avg 2.4
Under 2.5 in 3 of 5
L10
7/10
70%
avg 2.2
Under 2.5 in 7 of 10
L20
13/20
65%
avg 2.4
Under 2.5 in 13 of 20
2026-27
5/7
71%
avg 2.3
Under 2.5 in 5 of 7
2025-26
52/77
68%
avg 2.1
Under 2.5 in 52 of 77
vs PHI
15/21
71%
avg 1.6
Under 2.5 in 15 of 21
Home
29/40
72%
avg 2.0
Under 2.5 in 29 of 40

Why this score

  • His usual level62.0

    His usual level: 2.4 ast in 29.7 min

  • Teammates out+0.3

    Teammates out: their usage: −0.1 min, +0.0 ast

  • Matchup+1.8

    What the opponent allowed his position last season: +0.0 min, −0.2 ast

  • Rest+0.1

    Opponent's 2 games in 4 nights: −0.1 min, +0.0 ast

  • Season phase+0.4

    Opponent 2.5 games ahead of 6th: +0.1 min, +0.0 ast

  • His splits−0.7

    His split this month: +0.2 min, +0.1 ast

  • Morning check+0.1

    The morning check on game script and teammates out

= 64

Matchup

PHI is the 9th-easiest of 30 defenses vs guards in assists (8 games)

PHI allows guards 14.7 assists per 100 possessions (league 13.6)

PHI's pace: 101.6 possessions per 48 minutes (league 102.0), the 19th-fastest of 30. Tonight's expected pace: 100.7

Last season: the 4th-easiest of 30 vs guards in assists (15.1 per 100 possessions)

Last season's pace: 101.5 possessions per 48 minutes, the 16th-fastest of 30

The defense by position group
GroupAssists / 100RankFor this Under
Guardsthis player14.79thhurts
Forwards5.529thhelps
Centers3.318thneutral

Per 100 possessions, over this season's games only. Last season's rank is its full regular season. Rank: 1st allows the most.

Lines vs this defense

Guards vs PHI, last 8 games: 14 of 22 lines went Under

DatePlayerLineActualResult
11/2/26Josh Giddey7.510Over
11/2/26Norman Powell2.50Under
11/2/26Tre Jones3.53Under
10/31/26Brandon Miller3.55Over
10/31/26Dennis Schröder5.57Over
10/31/26Grayson Allen2.53Over
10/30/26Jalen Brunson6.56Under
10/30/26Landry Shamet1.50Under
10/30/26Mikal Bridges2.52Under
10/30/26Miles McBride1.51Under
10/28/26Andrew Nembhard8.514Over
10/25/26Cade Cunningham9.58Under
10/25/26Daniss Jenkins4.56Over
10/25/26Duncan Robinson1.53Over
10/25/26Isaiah Joe1.50Under
10/24/26Ryan Rollins4.54Under
10/24/26Tyler Herro4.53Under
10/22/26Donovan Mitchell4.53Under
10/22/26James Harden6.55Under
10/22/26Sam Merrill1.52Over
10/20/26Jalen Brunson6.53Under
10/20/26Mikal Bridges3.51Under

Context

Role

Started 7 of 7 this season

Min L5
31.0
Min L10
28.3
Min 2026-27
30.1
Min 2025-26
27.4
Usage L10
20.9%
Usage 2026-27
21.2%

With and without

His games with and without each teammate, this season and last
TeammateWithoutWithFilter
Jalen Duren COut15 g · 1.9 · 11/1568 g · 2.1 · 46/68
Isaiah Joe GOut3 g · 2.0 · 3/33 g · 2.3 · 2/3
Isaac Jones FQuestionable67 g · 2.1 · 44/676 g · 2.8 · 3/6
Elijah Harkless GQuestionable5 g · 2.2 · 4/51 g · 2.0 · 1/1
Cade Cunningham G15 g · 2.4 · 9/1569 g · 2.0 · 48/69
Ausar Thompson F10 g · 2.8 · 4/1074 g · 2.0 · 53/74
Daniss Jenkins G10 g · 1.6 · 8/1074 g · 2.1 · 49/74
Ronald Holland II F4 g · 3.2 · 1/480 g · 2.0 · 56/80
Javonte Green F0 g · — · —84 g · 2.1 · 57/84
Paul Reed C16 g · 1.9 · 10/1668 g · 2.1 · 47/68
Kevin Huerter G8 g · 2.4 · 5/829 g · 2.4 · 18/29

His regular-season games this season and last: games, his average and his hit rate at the line above. Without means the teammate was on the roster but didn't play.

Why this score. Every factor named, with its reason.

ProPropLabs APP #receiving

Example · Nov 2

Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Under 7.5 Receptions

SEA WR · vs CHI · Mon Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET

Pick
DraftKings −126 · fair −132
Score
57
Edge
+2.1% EV
Win %
56.9%
Projection
6 (avg 6.2)
Role
WR1 · snaps 77% last game, 84% last 3
Hit rates vs the line
Under hit: 2026 2/7 · 2025 7/17 · L5 2/5 · L10 3/10 · vs CHI 1/1Average: 8.3 this season, 7.0 last season
Defense
CHI allows 9.4 receptions/game to WRs (league 11.4) · 5th-toughest of 32 (7 games) · tough matchup for the offense — works for your UnderLast season: 16th-toughest of 32 vs WRs (11.1 receptions/game)WRs vs CHI, last 5: 11 · 5 · 16 · 9 · 7 receptions (avg 9.6; league avg 11.4)
Why this score
⚪ 55.4 Starting chance🟢 +0.3 Model/market disagreement🟢 +0.5 L10 3/10 vs this line🟢 +0.9 CHI is the 6th-toughest of 32 defenses vs WRs⚪ −0.1 …and 2 smaller factors= 57 (57% to hit)

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